Comments on: Friday’s Trading? http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10 Technical Trading Talk Fri, 12 Mar 2010 09:43:50 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9 hourly 1 By: K http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9235 K Sat, 20 Sep 2008 15:07:17 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9235 also take a look at this http://www.ft.com/cms/bfba2c48-5588-11dc-b971-0000779fd2ac.html?_i_referralObject=861117442&fromSearch=n also take a look at this
http://www.ft.com/cms/bfba2c48-5588-11dc-b971-0000779fd2ac.html?_i_referralObject=861117442&fromSearch=n

]]> By: K http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9234 K Sat, 20 Sep 2008 14:57:56 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9234 $700 billion huh? gosh maybe i finish school make some money and invest from another country. taxes will be bad. $700 nillion + a great depression yet to come. why can't we just let the 2nd happen ASAP and not waster trillions like we have? $700 billion huh? gosh maybe i finish school make some money and invest from another country. taxes will be bad. $700 nillion + a great depression yet to come. why can’t we just let the 2nd happen ASAP and not waster trillions like we have?

]]> By: admin http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9233 admin Sat, 20 Sep 2008 14:43:01 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9233 Dressguard, From what <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/96325-short-ban-government-policy-created-too-hastily" rel="nofollow">David Merkel says</a>, it looks like the VIX should be distorted by the short-selling ban: "Put option implied volatility goes way up. (A lot depends on whether specialists/market-makers can still short…) Because of put-call parity, call implied volatility goes up as well." Matt Dressguard,

From what David Merkel says, it looks like the VIX should be distorted by the short-selling ban:

“Put option implied volatility goes way up. (A lot depends on whether specialists/market-makers can still short…) Because of put-call parity, call implied volatility goes up as well.”

Matt

]]> By: Dblwyo http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9231 Dblwyo Sat, 20 Sep 2008 14:09:34 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9231 Dguard - actually think there's some good sense in your assessment. Not sure it's Armageddon but were, almost literally, dancing on the edge of the precipice. Go chart IRX YtD, especially on a log scale. Tu the markets went deeper into cardiac arrest worldwide than just before the BSC rescue. Whatever the ideological merits or objections one might have to RTCII the equity markets were about to nose-dive, as we know, big time again and the world credit markets weren't responding to the de-fillibrator. I'm happy to debate the philosophical pros and cons but much happier to be around to do so. Thu up until 2:59 it wasn't clear that opportunity was on the table. Fri we could, and can continue, to criticize the dancing bear for being a bad dancer. Dguard – actually think there’s some good sense in your assessment. Not sure it’s Armageddon but were, almost literally, dancing on the edge of the precipice. Go chart IRX YtD, especially on a log scale. Tu the markets went deeper into cardiac arrest worldwide than just before the BSC rescue. Whatever the ideological merits or objections one might have to RTCII the equity markets were about to nose-dive, as we know, big time again and the world credit markets weren’t responding to the de-fillibrator. I’m happy to debate the philosophical pros and cons but much happier to be around to do so. Thu up until 2:59 it wasn’t clear that opportunity was on the table. Fri we could, and can continue, to criticize the dancing bear for being a bad dancer.

]]> By: Dressguard http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9223 Dressguard Sat, 20 Sep 2008 11:49:00 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9223 As far as I know on an option expiration day the VIX should go down in most cases. Options are settled so implied volatility should go down. VIX is of course distorted by the new shorting rules. But actually it should have gone even more down. Maybe I'm wrong here. I think Matt has better insight into that than me. But I'm very sceptical and the whole stock market - not only the VIX - is distorted and if you want "broken". There won't be a buying frenzy. Maybe the markets go up. But this would be another opportunity to go short. Btw, Germany followed the the U.S. and U.K. with a shorting ban, too. Concerted action across the world. I'm getting scared shitless now. Maybe it's time to go in gold again, though I told myself never to do that again. DOW higher than 11000 is a joke in that kind of market environment. That biyatch should be between 8000 and 9000 points. As I told before - February feeling is back again. It's really strange. Although I made some money this week I am feeling depressed. How would I feel if I had been in SKF, seeing it going up to $150, hoping it would go to $200 and seeing that thing dropping below $100? I think the bears had enough this week and the bulls don't feel like partying either. I am very worried of the next little crisis in the stock markets. What will the government and the FED do then? The next crisis will be the panicking big drop and we will see the DOW and other indexed where they belong. At least a 20% drop from here. As far as I know on an option expiration day the VIX should go down in most cases. Options are settled so implied volatility should go down. VIX is of course distorted by the new shorting rules. But actually it should have gone even more down. Maybe I’m wrong here. I think Matt has better insight into that than me. But I’m very sceptical and the whole stock market – not only the VIX – is distorted and if you want “broken”. There won’t be a buying frenzy. Maybe the markets go up. But this would be another opportunity to go short. Btw, Germany followed the the U.S. and U.K. with a shorting ban, too. Concerted action across the world. I’m getting scared shitless now. Maybe it’s time to go in gold again, though I told myself never to do that again. DOW higher than 11000 is a joke in that kind of market environment. That biyatch should be between 8000 and 9000 points. As I told before – February feeling is back again. It’s really strange. Although I made some money this week I am feeling depressed. How would I feel if I had been in SKF, seeing it going up to $150, hoping it would go to $200 and seeing that thing dropping below $100? I think the bears had enough this week and the bulls don’t feel like partying either. I am very worried of the next little crisis in the stock markets. What will the government and the FED do then? The next crisis will be the panicking big drop and we will see the DOW and other indexed where they belong. At least a 20% drop from here.

]]> By: Zen http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9209 Zen Sat, 20 Sep 2008 04:25:20 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9209 Actually Aug may have been like Feb. Maybe this rally will go for a while. Actually Aug may have been like Feb. Maybe this rally will go for a while.

]]> By: K http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9205 K Sat, 20 Sep 2008 03:38:47 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9205 Regulators shut down a 102-year-old West Virginia bank on Friday and sold all deposits to Pioneer Community Bank Inc. of Iaeger, W.V. and The Citizens Savings Bank of Martins Ferry, Ohio. The closure of Northfork, W.V.-based Ameribank Inc. was the 12th U.S. bank failure this year, making it the latest victim of the nation's worst banking crisis in at least ... i will really change my name to Spammer K hehe Regulators shut down a 102-year-old West Virginia bank on Friday and sold all deposits to Pioneer Community Bank Inc. of Iaeger, W.V. and The Citizens Savings Bank of Martins Ferry, Ohio.

The closure of Northfork, W.V.-based Ameribank Inc. was the 12th U.S. bank failure this year, making it the latest victim of the nation’s worst banking crisis in at least …

i will really change my name to Spammer K hehe

]]> By: Zen http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9204 Zen Sat, 20 Sep 2008 03:38:17 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9204 I'm wondering if we will get a Feb. like rally over the next few weeks. I’m wondering if we will get a Feb. like rally over the next few weeks.

]]> By: K http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9203 K Sat, 20 Sep 2008 03:37:08 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9203 and whoa Emini Dow 11628.63 +646.63 +6.0 ? are we actually going to test 12000? and whoa
Emini Dow 11628.63 +646.63 +6.0 ? are we actually going to test 12000?

]]> By: K http://www.trivisonno.com/fridays-trading-10/comment-page-3#comment-9202 K Sat, 20 Sep 2008 03:17:44 +0000 http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=907#comment-9202 what will happen when short selling comes back oct 3rd? they will be anxious and really take the bottom off the market.? or am I wrong hehe maybe wishful thinking what will happen when short selling comes back oct 3rd?
they will be anxious and really take the bottom off the market.? or am I wrong hehe maybe wishful thinking

]]>