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	<title>Comments on: July Low Cracked</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.trivisonno.com/july-low-cracked/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.trivisonno.com/july-low-cracked</link>
	<description>It&#039;s the Sovereignty Stupid!</description>
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		<title>By: Yerk</title>
		<link>http://www.trivisonno.com/july-low-cracked/comment-page-1#comment-5795</link>
		<dc:creator>Yerk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Sep 2008 06:42:38 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Matt,

great stuff - and you didn&#039;t mention your call &quot;kiss-spy-goodbye&quot;.

OK, my entry was a bit early but +30% in trading account in one day is quite nice and more than covers the losses taken in anticipation.

THX and ride on</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Matt,</p>
<p>great stuff &#8211; and you didn&#8217;t mention your call &#8220;kiss-spy-goodbye&#8221;.</p>
<p>OK, my entry was a bit early but +30% in trading account in one day is quite nice and more than covers the losses taken in anticipation.</p>
<p>THX and ride on</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Mechie</title>
		<link>http://www.trivisonno.com/july-low-cracked/comment-page-1#comment-5784</link>
		<dc:creator>Mechie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Sep 2008 04:34:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=746#comment-5784</guid>
		<description>Matt,

Well done.

A number of us have been along for this ride.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Matt,</p>
<p>Well done.</p>
<p>A number of us have been along for this ride.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Rich</title>
		<link>http://www.trivisonno.com/july-low-cracked/comment-page-1#comment-5779</link>
		<dc:creator>Rich</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Sep 2008 03:58:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.trivisonno.com/?p=746#comment-5779</guid>
		<description>http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&amp;p=W&amp;yr=3&amp;mn=0&amp;dy=0&amp;id=p55572292115

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.pnf?c=$SPX,P&amp;listNum=

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPC&amp;p=D&amp;yr=0&amp;mn=6&amp;dy=0&amp;id=p94253726891

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPCE&amp;p=D&amp;yr=0&amp;mn=6&amp;dy=0&amp;id=p94253726891

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPCI&amp;p=D&amp;yr=0&amp;mn=6&amp;dy=0&amp;id=p94253726891

The emerging EW structure implies a cyclical wave 3 of a C has begun via the weekly SPX chart from the ~50% retracement at SPX 1313; a bounce from the low to upper 1100s is likely before a low in the 900s in 9-10 weeks (Nov.). 

A seasonal low and rally to the next low would be typical, followed by a plunge in late summer to fall &#039;09 or early &#039;10 to the &#039;02-&#039;03 lows. 

C waves in a bear market are breathtaking and highly destructive; however, short-covering rallies are equally stunning in their tendency to take back bears&#039; gains, as shorts are the only ones with money/gains buying under the market in such episodes. 

Moreover, volatility rises in a bear market, and even more so in a secular bear market, thus the VIX should make new highs for the cycle, i.e., above 44-45, in the next 2-12 to 18 months. 

Don&#039;t try to be a hero shorting from here; wait for a bounce from below SPX 1200 to scale in shorts to cover below 1000 this fall (around the &quot;selection&quot;).

The global economy is tipping into, or already has entered, a recession; the point of recognition has arrived or will very shortly. 

We face the worst debt- and asset-deflationary global financial crisis since the 1930s and 1890s; prepare yourself and your loved ones accordingly. 

Good luck.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&#038;p=W&#038;yr=3&#038;mn=0&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p55572292115" rel="nofollow">http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&#038;p=W&#038;yr=3&#038;mn=0&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p55572292115</a></p>
<p><a href="http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.pnf?c=$SPX,P&#038;listNum" rel="nofollow">http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.pnf?c=$SPX,P&#038;listNum</a>=</p>
<p><a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPC&#038;p=D&#038;yr=0&#038;mn=6&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p94253726891" rel="nofollow">http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPC&#038;p=D&#038;yr=0&#038;mn=6&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p94253726891</a></p>
<p><a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPCE&#038;p=D&#038;yr=0&#038;mn=6&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p94253726891" rel="nofollow">http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPCE&#038;p=D&#038;yr=0&#038;mn=6&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p94253726891</a></p>
<p><a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPCI&#038;p=D&#038;yr=0&#038;mn=6&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p94253726891" rel="nofollow">http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CPCI&#038;p=D&#038;yr=0&#038;mn=6&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p94253726891</a></p>
<p>The emerging EW structure implies a cyclical wave 3 of a C has begun via the weekly SPX chart from the ~50% retracement at SPX 1313; a bounce from the low to upper 1100s is likely before a low in the 900s in 9-10 weeks (Nov.). </p>
<p>A seasonal low and rally to the next low would be typical, followed by a plunge in late summer to fall &#8217;09 or early &#8217;10 to the &#8217;02-&#8217;03 lows. </p>
<p>C waves in a bear market are breathtaking and highly destructive; however, short-covering rallies are equally stunning in their tendency to take back bears&#8217; gains, as shorts are the only ones with money/gains buying under the market in such episodes. </p>
<p>Moreover, volatility rises in a bear market, and even more so in a secular bear market, thus the VIX should make new highs for the cycle, i.e., above 44-45, in the next 2-12 to 18 months. </p>
<p>Don&#8217;t try to be a hero shorting from here; wait for a bounce from below SPX 1200 to scale in shorts to cover below 1000 this fall (around the &#8220;selection&#8221;).</p>
<p>The global economy is tipping into, or already has entered, a recession; the point of recognition has arrived or will very shortly. </p>
<p>We face the worst debt- and asset-deflationary global financial crisis since the 1930s and 1890s; prepare yourself and your loved ones accordingly. </p>
<p>Good luck.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: dressguard</title>
		<link>http://www.trivisonno.com/july-low-cracked/comment-page-1#comment-5773</link>
		<dc:creator>dressguard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Sep 2008 03:22:13 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Matt,

your charts, loves it!!! :-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Matt,</p>
<p>your charts, loves it!!! <img src='http://www.trivisonno.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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