The TRINQ, which is the NASDAQ version of the TRIN, is now more overbought than it has been during this entire bear market. Take a look at this chart (click to enlarge):
The 3-day moving average for the TRINQ is now at 0.47 (black arrow), which is substantially more overbought than at the market peak on January 6th (red arrows). It hit 0.61 on January 2nd.
In fact, to find a more overbought reading, you have to go all the way back to September 4th, 2007 when it hit 0.40 during a raging bull market. But even then, the Q’s fell from 49.68 to 48.20 over the next four days.
So, even if this is a raging bull market, we have to expect a “sell the news” reaction to any “good” news that may appear in the next couple of trading days. I wouldn’t buy stocks at this point with Larry Kudlow’s money!



matt,
just a quick note to let you know how much i value your excellent blog. I read it faithfully every day, since discovering it last fall and being amazed by the prescience of your “death march to 900″ call. keep up the great work!
Thanks marko.
Matt,
Do you think shorting the Q’s via QID or REW is a reasonable assumption?