One Lousy Ship?

On Tuesday, President Obama sent the USS Lassen to the South China Sea where it sailed within 12 nautical miles of one of China’s artificial islands. Publicly, the Chinese are outraged, but behind the scenes they are probably snickering considering what happened the last time the U.S. Navy sent China a message.

Back in 1996, when the Chinese were harassing Taiwan, President Clinton sent two carrier groups to the area. And one of them led by the USS Nimitz sailed right through the Taiwan Strait. Now that sends a message. Why? Because the ships sailed very close to China, and the closer you get, the more enemy territory comes under your guns. The Nimitz could have inflicted some serious mayhem on a wide swath of China that day (click the map to enlarge):

Taiwan_Strait

The Chinese had their Silkworm cruise missiles back then, but perhaps the Navy was confident in their countermeasures. Of course, during the intervening 20 years we have transferred a tremendous amount of technology to the Chinese, so their anti-ship weapons are far more sophisticated now. Sending a carrier that close to China today might not be feasible. And I would be surprised to see it considering how the USS Theodore Roosevelt pulled out of the Middle East two days after the Russians started launching cruise missiles at ISIS on October 7th.

Perhaps there will be more “Freedom of Navigation” operations, but if it ends after this puny show of force, the Chinese will likely be emboldened rather than deterred – just like the Russians are now in the Middle East.

I’m for scaling back our imperial footprint, but it has to be done in such a way that our military rivals don’t sense weakness.

Putin’s Cuban Carrier Not Sunk After All

In “Sinking Putin’s Cuban Carrier” back in February, I speculated that Obama’s policy of trying to normalize relations with Cuba was a geopolitical strategy aimed at depriving Russia of an ally in a cold war that was heating up.

Well, it looks like it didn’t take. DEBKAfile is reporting that Putin has air-lifted 2,000 Cuban troops into Syria who will soon be driving tanks over the CIA’s jihadis.

Is Putin mopping the floor with Obama, or what? You have to wonder if this will effect the presidential election. If the Democrats are perceived as grossly incompetent at foreign policy, that might be the issue that will allow Trump to catch up to Hillary. All the head-to-head polls I’ve seen show Hills defeating Trump by a wide margin. But can that last, when the USA is in a military retreat?

Recently, there has been talk of a US Navy “drive by” in the South China Sea to show China who’s boss. That may partly be designed to divert attention away from the Middle East as we quietly fold our tent in Syria. If the Navy were to sink one of China’s artificial islands, then that would provide a long-lasting media circus that would dwarf events in the Middle East…

…Unless Putin keeps marching. Putin’s on a roll, and Obama’s a sissy, so why wouldn’t Putin keep right on going? In 1974, Russia deployed Cuban tank and helicopter crews to the Syrian border with Israel where they fought the IDF. Does Vladamir Putin see this as an opportunity to take out a US ally? Probably not, but I think this is the most danger Israel has been in in a long time.

Big Oil’s Revenge on Baghdad

The fate of the Shiite regime that we installed in Baghdad was probably sealed back in 2009 during a televised oil auction at the Al-Rashid Hotel. The Iraqis took bids to see which oil companies would get contracts to pump Iraqi oil.

ExxonMobil shocked the audience with an astoundingly low bid. The giant company was willing to accept a mere $4.80 per barrel. But the audience was stunned again when the Ministry of Oil announced that the maximum they would pay was $2.

Can you imagine the audacity? Here we had just kindly destroyed their country, and now they were sticking it to us on oil profits. The bastards!

Which is, I’m sure, how the discussions went in the boardrooms of Big Oil. A couple of years later, ExxonMobil struck back. As I wrote in my book:

“In early 2012, ExxonMobil confirmed that they had signed an exploration and production deal with Iraq’s Kurdistan Regional Government. The Kurds are in defiance of Baghdad, and the deal has infuriated the Iraqi government. ExxonMobil has sided with the Kurds because they are easier to do business with, and if Baghdad doesn’t change its tune they just might get invaded again!”

And whoops! Baghdad is now under siege by Sunnis. Note to Maliki: payback’s a bitch.

(Am I a prophet or what? Obviously, you should buy my book immediately.)

Further evidence that we have turned our back on the Shiites is that we are doing virtually nothing to help them fight ISIS while Vladimir Putin has sent five Sukhoi fighter jets to Baghdad.

And you don’t have to take my word for it. Back in January, the Telegraph reported that the USA had given its seal of approval to ISIS.

Obama is telling Maliki: “We can do this the easy way or the hard way. You can step down and make way for a more pliable puppet, or Baghdad can burn.”

So far, Maliki is choosing the hard way.

Putin Will March on East Ukraine

Vladamir Putin called President Obama last night, and the White House spun it as Putin grovelling for a diplomatic solution in Ukraine. However, the White House statement left out the fact that Putin complained about the “extremists” that we probably employ there, and the region of Transnistria that Putin appears to covet.

What I think Putin will do is make a statement about how he begged Obama to call of his mercenaries in Ukraine, but Obama refused, so now it us up to Russia to restore order in the Russian-speaking regions of Ukraine.

Do we really have 300 Backwater mercenaries in Ukraine? Or is it just Kremlin propaganda? I don’t know, but it doesn’t actually matter because Putin seems to be intending to use it as his reason for an invasion.

So, don’t be surprised if the tanks roll soon. Also, did you know that the Russian Army fought in the War of Transnistria in 1992?

Russian Military Superiority

In many areas, the Russians have military superiority over the USA. For example, if a Russian sub wanted to sail up to our coast and launch a nuclear cruise missile, we would never see it coming. Your first hint would be when the temperature in your living room spiked up to one million degrees. Even if you had a Patriot battery deployed on your lawn, you would be as helpless as a kitten with polio.

As I wrote in my book, the Pentagon cannot detect Russia’s Akula attack sub, and it can’t shoot down the Iskander missile. If the truth were known, I wouldn’t be surprised to learn that the Iskander was the reason why we declined battle in Georgia in 2008, in Syria in 2013, and surely will decline again in Ukraine in 2014.

You see, while we were pursuing disastrous imperial wars, the Russians were pursuing actual effective weapons. While the USA dramatically outspends the rest of the world on “defense,” there is little doubt that we also dramatically out-waste the rest of the world too. We make airplanes and tanks that roll off the assembly line, and then roll right into the boneyard.

We suffer from a plague of military entitlements, where defense contractors feel entitled to build weapons that the Pentagon doesn’t want. They get away with it by simply purchasing the required Congressmen. Calling Russia corrupt and backward is a case of the pot calling the kettle black.

We also suffer from hubris thanks to the corporate media bombarding us with an endless barrage of military hype as the New World Order rolls on with its program of never-ending war. But defeating small, hapless nations doesn’t prove anything when it comes time to fight a large, competent nation. This isn’t a terribly impressive resume:

Grenada (Ronald Reagan, 1983)
Panama (George H.W. Bush, 1988)
Serbia (Bill Clinton, 1995)
Afghanistan (George W. Bush, 2001)
Iraq (George W. Bush, 2003)
Libya (Barrack Obama, 2011)

We Americans have a feeling of military and technological superiority. Maybe we are right; maybe we could drive the Russians out of Ukraine. But such an adventure would surely be far more bloody and costly than our last six “glorious victories” combined.

Don’t forget, even the Serbs figured out how to shoot down an F-117 Nighthawk stealth bomber. In fact, the wreckage is on display in Belgrade:

Stealth Bomber Wreckage

Stealth Bomber Wreckage

If a tiny nation like Serbia could neutralize our most-advanced technology, just imagine what the Russians could do.

Now, if the Russians were invading Canada, then we would certainly want to push them out regardless of the danger. But they are not doing that. Rather, we are trying to abscond with Russia’s Canada – Ukraine. Fomenting rebellion in Ukraine was a profoundly aggressive move toward Russia. I expect they will fight for Ukraine just as fiercely was we would fight them over Canada.

We had a chance to make friends with Russia when the Soviet Union collapsed. But instead, the psychotic, rapacious, and incompetent oligarchy that runs this country acted like a pack of hyenas trying to bite off chunks of former-Soviet turf.

And that behavior will continue until David Rockefeller’s ExxonMobil gets it’s hands on Russia’s oil reserves. The only question is: can they pull it off without triggering a nuclear war? Don’t forget, psychopaths are “fearless” – or more precisely, their brain damage makes them reckless in the face of danger. So, nuclear war is a lot more likely than we might think.

And this is not Obama’s doing. The NATO-Ukraine alliance began in 1995, and Ukrainian soldiers have served with us in Afghanistan and Iraq. Our Ukrainian policy is made above the presidential level.

America’s Top Military Ally: Vladimir Putin

General Dwight D. Eisenhower once said:

“You will not find it difficult to prove that battles, campaigns, and even wars have been won or lost primarily because of logistics.”

If you surveyed American soldiers serving in Afghanistan about who was the USA’s most-important ally, there’s a good chance that they would choose Vladimir Putin. Why would they do that? Because our supply lines run through Russia – on the ground and in the air. Below we see an Antonov 225, the world’s largest aircraft, which flies a lot of supplies to our troops:

AN-225

Without Russia’s help, things would be considerably less comfortable for our troops. Read more about Afghan war logistics here. And here is an article about all the fuel we buy from Russia.

And when it comes time to pull out of Afghanistan, cooperation from the Russians will be critical. So, the next time that you are confronted with a neocon fulminating about Putin, you know how to disarm him.

The Antonov 225 videos below were shot by U.S. soldiers serving in Afghanistan:



Will Obama Get the Tillman Treatment?

Looking at the circumstances surrounding Pat Tillman‘s death in Afghanistan, it’s hard to conclude that he was not assassinated. Tillman was America’s most-famous soldier when he began to voice opposition to the invasion of Iraq. A short time later, he got three to head, applied with expert precision from close range. Not so friendly fire in my opinion. And during the cover-up, somebody burned the journal he had been keeping.

The moral of the story is that it is hazardous to your health to stand in the way of the military industrial complex when it is on the warpath. They will kill you.

What if Congress votes down a strike on Syria? What if Obama follows in David Cameron’s footsteps and does not order the strike anyway? Will he get the Tillman Treatment? I wouldn’t bet against it. Chances are that Obama would be neutralized in some way, and the war would go forward.

I came to this realization after I saw Larry Kudlow go berserk on CNBC Friday. At the 3:11 mark of the video below, Kudlow says about Obama: “He’s just gonna to be a dead duck.” A pretty clear threat. Then at 5:40, Kudlow is enraged that Obama has refused to take orders from John “Bonesman” Kerry. It’s an amazing thing to see as Kudlow inadvertently exposes the true power relationships in the White House.

Watch your back, Mr. President. It’s starting to get ugly.

Tinker Tailor Soldier, My Eye!

If you are having trouble sleeping, tune in to HBO and watch the 2011 film, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, and let a British psy-op knock you out. The film is excruciatingly dull. I’m not the type to fall asleep during movies, but watching Tinker made me feel like I had swallowed a handful of sleeping pills – just like it did 39 years ago when I tried to read John Le Carré’s equally dull novel.

In fact, I tried to read Tinker more than once. Each time, I got exasperated and threw the book down in disgust. I defy you to read it. And I love spy novels. I’ve read all of Tom Clancy’s books, for example. In general, I read books cover-to-cover. Even bad books because I keep thinking: “the good part that brought it to my attention must coming up any minute now.”

So, I’ve been perplexed by Tinker for my whole life. But I think I have finally solved the mystery: Tinker is dull because it was designed to be dull. It was written by a British intelligence agent to literally put Americans to sleep. It is a psy-op aimed at us as a deterrent to keep us from looking further into the machinations of Perfidious Albion.

How was it possible for such a horrible book to make it onto the New York Times Best-Seller list? I’ll bet that if the truth were known, British intelligence agents were sent out to bookstores to buy-up copies and goose the sales numbers. Just like L. Ron Hubbard used to send out his thralls to buy copies of Dianetics.

But why? What were the British trying to hypnotize us into forgetting? Well, as World War II wound down, President Roosevelt refused to help Churchill maintain the British Empire, which infuriated Churchill and he turned against us. Churchill sought to weaken the USA by instigating the Cold War, and having us turn against our Russian allies. Stalin even believed that Churchill had FDR assassinated (see story here).

Don’t you think that it’s odd that the US military did so well in World War II, but all of sudden, couldn’t fight its way out of a paper bag in Korea and Vietnam? Genghis Khan had no trouble conquering Korea, so why couldn’t we do it? Well, General MacArthur suspected that the North Koreans and Chinese were being tipped off to his plans. Back then, we foolishly trusted the Brits with too much of our intelligence.

In Vietnam, it was a Brit who talked us into the disastrous Strategic Hamlet program where our side “helped” villagers by burning their houses down and marching them into concentration camps. Not the best way to win hearts and minds.

Ostensibly, the Russians had infiltrated British intelligence, and spies like Kim Philby sent intel to the Kremlin during the Cold War. But Stalin himself didn’t trust Philby and thought that he was a triple agent still loyal to the British.

Ultimately, the Tinker psy-op has succeeded. The vast majority of Americans think that the Brits have been nothing but staunch allies since World War I, when in reality the picture isn’t quite so clear.

It’s Time to Work on a Special Relationship with China

After the British adopted “free trade” and de-industrialized, they eventually lost their empire. However, they were able to maintain a geopolitical status a bit higher than it otherwise would have been because they developed a “special relationship” with the new superpower – the USA.

Now that we have decided to follow the same path of de-industrialization and imperial decline, it seems logical that we should get busy on our own special relationship with China. Hopefully, they will take us under their wing and shore us up over the next 100 years.

Of course, some people would say that the special relationship with the Brits has been the work of MI6 and Perfidious Albion. And if that’s the case, then the CIA had better get busy on Operation Perfidious America.

To kick things off, we might do a deal were Beijing tears up their $1 trillion worth of Treasury bonds in exchange for Pacific Command not answering the phone when Taiwan calls in a panic over a “surprise” Chinese invasion. Or maybe we can send troops to help them pacify Tibet, or prison-advisers to help suppress the Falun Gong. We’re really good at prisons.

It’s not going to be pretty, but those are the consequences of de-industrialization.

Putin vs. Dell – Round 2

Remember when Vladamir Putin rudely slapped-down Michael Dell’s offer for technological help at Davos in 2009? If not, near the beginning of the video below, you can see Putin reply: “We don’t need help. We are not invalids. We don’t have limited mental capacity.”

Well, we may find out who “needs help” soon. When Turkey requested Patriot missiles from NATO to bolster its defenses against Syria, Russia responded by sending their Iskander missiles to Bashar Assad. So, the scene is set for a USA-Russia missile duel in Syria.

Will we win? Maybe not. From what I have read, these Iskanders are formidable. They can fly at 1.3 miles per second, perform evasive maneuvers, and release decoys. And they are battle-tested. Russia used Iskanders in their 2008 invasion of Georgia. The Russians claim that one Iskander destroyed 28 tanks at a Georgian base.

There is also a rumor that the Russians challenged us to an Iskander vs. Patriot duel at an air show, but we declined.

I find this all fascinating because we Americans are rather arrogant. After all, what does Dell know about technology? Don’t they just assemble parts from Taiwan? Was Putin right? At some point, our hollowed-out industrial base is going to catch up with our military swagger.

Perhaps Vladimir Putin thinks that time has come.